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2. The CPI of the United States in November was in line with expectations, and the interest rate cut was stable!Take the monthly index in the above figure as an example to illustrate:3. From September to December, MACD crosses the 0 axis from underwater, which is a signal that the trend turns from weak to strong;

If you can't, it means that the winning rate of every small decision you make is not high. Small decisions with low winning rate will be amplified by high-frequency operation, and the result is that the more you do, the more mistakes you make. Therefore, retail investors want to make money through high-frequency decision-making to predict the market, and the probability of success is doomed to be very low, and they can't make a few money. The short-term market is almost a pure game market, but in the long run, the stock price will always fluctuate around the intrinsic value, even a shares are no exception.It stands to reason that everyone has their own operating system and suitable model for investment, and Honghuo has no right to interfere. But there are some words, as a friend, Honghuo feels it is necessary to say. Ordinary investors who want to make money in the stock market never rely on various small decisions every day. The essence of this small decision is that you think you can gain an advantage in the market game by news and discipline, and you can predict the short-term market.The current position of the market is in the circle. Generally speaking, when the market starts to rise, it is always unconscious to most people, because many people are aware of it after seeing the facts. It used to be said that stock trading is "seven-point mentality, two-point technology and one-point luck". I think this statement is correct, but in A shares, it is more accurate to change the mentality to policy+mentality. Although the stock markets all over the world are policy markets, A shares are more obvious.

Take the monthly index in the above figure as an example to illustrate:The general direction is that the country wants the stock market to be bullish, so can it be proved technically? Among many technical analysis indicators, I only look at four indicators: K-line, MA, MACD and volume, and I must use long-term indicators to judge the general direction, that is, monthly and quarterly indicators.According to the market style rotation in the first half of the year, the non-mainstream styles are short-lived rotation. In the first half of the year, the mainstream dividend was high, and it was a new low after the rapid rotation of other industries. Now, the same high dividend is not cost-effective. After the rapid rotation, the market opportunity will still be the mainstream theme, low price and small ticket style. This is the decision of incremental funds, and incremental funds will definitely not engage in high-ranking institutions and the direction of the national team's heavy position.